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Yields at decade highs, and Wall Street sees no end to it
Government bonds sold off again on Tuesday as oil held firm and the Iran truce lapsed, while Washington stepped back from a 50% tariff on Canada.
The bond rout deepens
Government bond yields rose again on Tuesday, with the Wall Street Journal reporting global sovereign yields at multiyear highs and US Treasury yields at levels last seen a decade ago. Treasury yields had cooled from their early highs during the session, according to one WSJ report, but the direction of the week has been one way. The paper's canvass of dealers and investors produced a blunt headline: Wall Street sees no end in sight to the selloff.
In London the pressure arrived with a domestic accent. This is Money described a "perfect storm" for bonds and a Budget headache for Chancellor Healey as investors fret over the UK's debt load. The BBC gathered the causes into three words — oil, AI and inflation — and reported global borrowing costs at fresh highs.
Equities took the message. US technology stocks slipped as yields hit decade highs, and the Nasdaq-heavy end of the market was where the selling concentrated. Hong Kong followed overnight, the South China Morning Post attributing declines in the city's technology names to the US bond rout and a stalemate in the Iran war.
Gold moved the other way, gaining on what the WSJ called easing hopes of a Federal Reserve rate rise, helped along by physical demand. Xiaomi, reporting an earnings slump, said it was in no rush to turn its vast spending on artificial intelligence into profits — a line delivered into precisely the market that is now repricing the cost of long-dated money.
Oil, Hormuz and a truce that expired
The energy leg of the story began earlier in the week, with oil prices and Treasury yields both climbing on Middle East concerns and Iran tensions. By Tuesday the WSJ had oil holding above $90 a barrel as the bond rout deepened, and the Iran truce expiring as US tech stocks fell.
On Wednesday morning City A.M. reported that the FTSE 100 was set to open lower, with oil jumping after President Trump claimed the Strait of Hormuz. The claim, whatever it amounts to in practice, arrived at the same time as the lapsed truce and an equity market already unsettled by yields.
Separately, and against that backdrop, Trump hit pause on his threatened tariffs on Canada. Euronews reported a last-minute deal to delay 50% US tariffs on Canadian imports, struck after a midnight showdown as the two sides met to sidestep the tariff blitz. The BBC said Trump had paused the new tariffs and described the countries as close to a deal. The Guardian added a second thread from the same remarks: a hint at reviving the Keystone XL oil pipeline project.
Listings, stakes and sales
Hong Kong supplied the week's clearest evidence that primary markets are still functioning. HKEX reported profit jumping to a record high on surging IPOs and turnover, beating market estimates. The Chinese robotics group Unitree soared in its stock market debut, the BBC reported. Beijing, meanwhile, urged mainland insurers to invest in Hong Kong-listed ETFs, and the city's dim sum bond market reached new heights as a State Grid deal drew record orders.
London's conversation was more introspective. City A.M. carried a comment piece arguing that recent IPO tweaks are welcome but that the London market needs root-and-branch reform.
Corporate news ran to stakes and sales. Frasers increased its holding in Hugo Boss to 48% following its takeover bid, taking Mike Ashley's group to the edge of outright control of the German label. BHP raised its dividend, with copper described as the "engine" of growth amid the data centre boom. Poundland's owner is exploring a sale of the discount chain a year after buying it, according to City A.M. and Sky News. Marks & Spencer launched a pet food range in its latest attempt to capture customers' weekly shops.
Two footnotes. Nasdaq confirmed that 23-hour trading will begin in December with a new overnight session. And a consortium led by Jeff Bezos could become the majority shareholder in Liverpool Football Club within a year, the Guardian reported, with 1892 Holdings bidding for Fenway's stake.
Sources
- Mike Ashley's Frasers increases stake in Hugo Boss to 48% after takeover bid (opens in a new tab) · This is Money Markets
- Wall Street Sees No End in Sight to the Global Bond Selloff (opens in a new tab) · WSJ Markets
- Borrowing costs surge in 'perfect storm' for bonds: Budget headache for Healey as investors fret over UK debt (opens in a new tab) · This is Money Markets
- U.S. Tech Stocks Slip as Bond Yields Hit Decade Highs; Iran Truce Expires (opens in a new tab) · WSJ Markets
- Bonds Are Getting Hammered, and Wall Street Says the Rout Won’t End Anytime Soon (opens in a new tab) · WSJ Markets
- Global Government Bond Yields Hit Multiyear Highs (opens in a new tab) · WSJ Markets
- Tech Stocks Slide With Bond Yields at Decade Highs (opens in a new tab) · WSJ Markets
- Treasury Yields Cool Down From Early Highs (opens in a new tab) · WSJ Markets
- Xiaomi ‘in no rush’ to turn vast AI spending into profits despite earnings slump (opens in a new tab) · SCMP Business
- Oil Prices, Treasury Yields Rise With Mideast Concerns (opens in a new tab) · WSJ Markets
- Oil Rises, Bond Yields Climb on Iran Tensions (opens in a new tab) · WSJ Markets
- FTSE 100 Live: Stocks to fall as oil jumps after Trump claims Strait of Hormuz (opens in a new tab) · City A.M.
- Trump says last minute deal reached with Canada to delay 50% US tariffs on imports from Ottawa (opens in a new tab) · Euronews Business
- IPO tweaks are welcome, but London’s market needs root and branch reform (opens in a new tab) · City A.M.
- HKEX profit jumps to record high on surging IPOs and turnover, beating market estimates (opens in a new tab) · SCMP Business
- Trump pauses new tariffs on Canada and says countries close to a deal (opens in a new tab) · BBC Business
- Trump hits pause on Canada tariffs threat, and hints at revival of Keystone XL oil pipeline project (opens in a new tab) · The Guardian Business
- Chinese robotics giant Unitree soars in stock market debut (opens in a new tab) · BBC Business
- Hong Kong tech stocks decline as US bond rout, Iran war stalemate dent sentiment (opens in a new tab) · SCMP Business
- Gold Gains on Easing Fed Rate Hike Hopes, Physical Demand (opens in a new tab) · WSJ Markets
- Marks & Spencer launches pet food range in latest bid to win customers' weekly shops (opens in a new tab) · This is Money Markets
- Mining giant BHP raises dividend as copper becomes 'engine' of growth amid data centre boom (opens in a new tab) · This is Money Markets
- Jeff Bezos consortium could be majority Liverpool shareholder within a year (opens in a new tab) · The Guardian Business
- Global borrowing costs hit fresh highs on oil, AI and inflation (opens in a new tab) · BBC Business
- Midnight showdown looms as US and Canada meet to sidestep Trump’s tariff blitz (opens in a new tab) · Euronews Business
- Beijing urges mainland insurers to invest in Hong Kong-listed ETFs (opens in a new tab) · SCMP Business
- Poundland owner eyes sale one year after takeover (opens in a new tab) · City A.M.
- Poundland owner plots sale of discount chain a year after takeover (opens in a new tab) · Sky News Business
- Nasdaq confirms 23-hour trading from December with new overnight session (opens in a new tab) · Euronews Business
- Hong Kong’s dim sum bond market hits new heights as State Grid deal draws record orders (opens in a new tab) · SCMP Business
This article is for general information only and does not constitute financial advice.